Your Daily Gold Update - Afternoon Edition 🕒✨
Hello, everyone! First off, I apologise for delivering your gold update in the afternoon rather than the morning today. It's been a busy morning. I appreciate your patience and I'm excited to share today's news summary with you. Here's what you need to know.
📈 Gold Market in a Snapshot
💲 Current Market Status (source Reuters)
- 📈 Current Price: Gold is trading above $1,980/oz.
- 🔼 Recent Trend: After a three-day decline, gold prices went up again.
🏦 Federal Reserve's Influence
- ✋ Steady Rates: The Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged have given gold a boost.
- 🔮 Speculative Outlook: Traders anticipate a possible rate pause or cut by the Fed in response to economic slowdowns.
🌎 Geopolitical Climate
- 🚨 Middle East Tensions: The escalating situation in Gaza contributes to gold's appeal.
- 🌐 Global Economic Concerns: Economic slowdown and reduced manufacturing activity in the US and China drive demand for gold as a safe investment.
📉 Previous Market Movements
- 💱 USD and Treasury Yields: A dip in the dollar's value and lower Treasury yields pushed the price of gold up.
📊 Market Analysis & Predictions
- 🔍 Analyst Views: Experts like Carlo Alberto De Casa suggest gold might stabilise before continuing its upward trajectory.
- 🚫 Resistance Zone: $2,000/toz is still seen as a significant resistance level for gold prices.
🥇 Precious Metals Performance
- 📈 Spot Gold: Up 0.3% at $1,988.40 per ounce.
- 📈 U.S. Gold Futures: Gained 0.5% to $1,996.70.
🔮 Looking Forward
- 🎲 Fed Rate Predictions: An 80% chance of another Fed pause in December, per CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.
- 💱 Currency Impact: The slipping dollar index makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies.
- 📊 Key Indicators: Upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls report could provide further cues on the Fed’s interest rate path.
📉 ETF Dynamics
- 🌟 SPDR Gold Trust Holdings: Slight increase, indicating investor interest in gold remains strong.
💠 Other Metals Update
- 🆙 Silver: Marginally higher at $23.04 per ounce.
- 🆙 Palladium: Increased 0.4%.
- 🔽 Platinum: Declined 0.4%.
🌍 Gaza Updates:
- Evacuations: Over 400 foreign nationals and injured Palestinians have been allowed exit to Egypt.
- Border Opening: The Gaza-Egypt border is scheduled to reopen for further evacuations.
- Casualties: The death toll in Gaza has been rising amidst ongoing conflict.
- Diplomatic Moves: The U.S. Secretary of State is set for a diplomatic visit to the region.
- Ceasefire Stance: Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu emphasizes that now is a time for war, not a ceasefire.
📊 Economic Indicators for Tomorrow:
- 🇩🇪 German Trade Balance: If it's higher than expected (€16.6B vs. €18B consensus), it could mean a stronger Euro, which might decrease gold prices as the currency becomes more attractive.
- 🇨🇦 Canadian Unemployment Rate: Unchanged at 5.5%, indicating a stable job market. This could lead to a stronger Canadian dollar and potentially lower gold prices if investors feel confident in economic stability.
- 🇺🇸 US Non-Farm Payrolls: A significant increase (336K) suggests robust job growth, signaling economic strength. This could lead to a dip in gold prices as demand for safer investments wanes.
- 🇺🇸 US Unemployment Rate: Holding steady at 3.8%, reflecting ongoing labour market stability. This could maintain current gold price levels or push them down slightly.
- 🇺🇸 US ISM Services PMI: A forecast of slight expansion (53.7) is a positive sign for the service sector and overall economy, which might reduce gold's appeal as a safe haven and pressure prices.
That's it for today. Stay tuned for more and thank you for reading!
DISCLAIMER: Please, note that the information provided in this personal post is a summary of news about gold, aggregated from multiple online sources. It is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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